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Surprising poll numbers

Hindrocket is as surprised as I am at a new AP poll showing Bush leading Kerry 46% to 45%. We all knew the Kerry bubble wouldn't last, but has it burst already? It seems like less than a month ago that he was topping Bush in every survey out there. What's changed? God knows there hasn't been any good news for the president lately, so I suspect it's merely the inevitable drop-off in media attention as Kerry morphs from "comeback kid" into "foregone conclusion".

I've gotta say though, the fact that Nader's pulling 6% makes the whole thing somewhat suspect to me. We'll see.